(Case study 03)Heat & Human Behavior

Behavioral Science · Experimental Design · Quantitative Analysis

The room was hot.
But the experience
mattered more.

I examined whether subjective thermal experience—especially thermal comfort—was more consistently related to emotion and task performance than objective temperature alone.

RoleResearcher
Project typeMaster’s Thesis
InstitutionUniversity of Chicago
SampleN = 26
DesignWithin-subjects experiment
ConditionsControl · 97°F · 113°F
AnalysisLinear mixed-effects models
ToolsPython · pandas · statsmodels
(01)Research question

Do people respond to heat itself—or to how hot and uncomfortable it feels?

Objective temperature°F

The physical environmental condition.

Perceived temperatureFEELS

The sensory experience of how hot or cold the environment seems.

Thermal comfortVALUES

The evaluative experience of whether that sensation feels acceptable or aversive.

Conceptual framework · Not a tested mediation model
EnvironmentSubjective experienceAffectPerformance

Stress-appraisal research suggests subjective evaluation may be a more proximal correlate of emotional response than the external stressor alone. The full causal pathway above was not formally tested.

(02)Experimental design

Every participant.
Every condition.

Twenty-six participants, ages 18–32, completed all three conditions in randomized order. Each condition lasted approximately 60 minutes.

ControlROOM
TEMP
Moderate heat97°F
High heat113°F
One condition · Repeated across all three temperatures
01T0

Thermal experience + affect

02Task 01

Backward Digit Span · working memory

03T1

Thermal experience + affect

04Task 02

Stop Signal Task · inhibitory control

05T2

Thermal experience + affect + anger

06Task 03

RC-RAGE · response to provocation

07T3

Thermal experience + affect

(03)Measures

Four layers of
human response.

The study separated the environment, sensory and evaluative experience, emotion, and motivated performance rather than collapsing them into one outcome.

01 · Thermal experience

Perceived temperature
Thermal comfort

Sensory intensity versus evaluative acceptance.

02 · Affect

Positive
Negative

Active · at ease · happy · calm · motivated · refreshed

Anxious · annoyed · tired · gloomy · bored · hostile

03 · Tasks

Working memory
Inhibitory control
Response to provocation

Backward Digit Span · Stop Signal Task · RC-RAGE

04 · Performance

Total bonus
earnings

A behavioral index of motivated task performance—not a pure measure of intelligence or ability.

(04)Analytic strategy

Model the structure
the data actually has.

Repeated observations from the same person are not independent. Linear mixed-effects models accounted for within-person dependence with participant ID as a random intercept.

01Repeated observations
02Nested within people
03Mixed-effects models
04Linear + quadratic tests
05AIC model comparison
Fixed effects varied by model

Condition · time · perceived temperature · thermal comfort · affect

Threshold

α = .05

Tools

Python · pandas · statsmodels

(05)Results

A clean manipulation.
A nuanced response.

Significant, null, nonlinear, and interaction findings are all shown because the mixed pattern is the research story.

(05.1)
Manipulation check

The temperatures felt meaningfully different.

Both heat conditions significantly increased perceived temperature and reduced comfort relative to control (all p < .001).

Allowing condition effects to vary by participant substantially improved the comfort model (ΔAIC = 55.88), showing meaningful individual differences: the same temperature did not feel equally comfortable to everyone.

  • Moderate: perceived heat b = 1.98 · p < .001
  • High: perceived heat b = 3.11 · p < .001
  • Moderate: comfort b = −2.58 · p < .001
  • High: comfort b = −3.84 · p < .001
Figure 1 showing mean perceived temperature rising and thermal comfort falling across time in moderate and high heat conditions
Original thesis figure.
(05.2)
Subjective experience

Feeling hot was not the same as feeling uncomfortable.

Perceived temperature“How hot does it feel?”
Thermal comfort“How acceptable or aversive does it feel?”

At T3, higher thermal comfort was associated with higher positive affect and lower negative affect. Within this sample, comfort tracked affect more consistently than objective condition—and did so monotonically.

  • Positive affect: b = 0.058 · p = .004
  • Negative affect: b = −0.034 · p = .012
  • Linear fit outperformed quadratic fit
Figure 4 showing positive affect increasing and negative affect decreasing with thermal comfort at T3Second panel of the same thesis figure
Original thesis figure.
(05.3)
Nonlinear result

More perceived heat did not map onto emotion in a straight line.

No significant effects appeared at T0 or T1. Later in exposure, affect appeared most favorable around moderate perceived-temperature levels: an inverted U for positive affect and a U for negative affect. This is a tentative pattern within this sample—not a universal comfort zone.

  • T2 positive affect quadratic p = .024
  • T3 positive affect quadratic p = .022
  • T3 negative affect quadratic p = .029
  • T3 ΔAIC = 3.17 / 2.83
Figure 3 comparing linear and quadratic fits between perceived temperature and positive and negative affect at T3Second panel of the same thesis figure
Original thesis figure.
(05.4)
Mixed + null result

Objective heat changed experience more clearly than emotion.

Temperature condition was not a significant predictor of negative affect. Moderate heat—but not high heat—was associated with higher positive affect than control. The direct condition–affect story was limited and inconsistent.

  • Negative affect: moderate p = .096
  • Negative affect: high p = .801
  • Positive affect: moderate b = 0.39 · p = .016
  • Positive affect: high p = .794
Figure 5 showing mean positive and negative affect across control, moderate heat, and high heat over time
Original thesis figure.
(05.5)
Performance association

More positive affect was associated with higher overall task earnings.

At T3, higher positive affect was associated with greater total bonus. It did not significantly predict performance in any single task, suggesting a broader overall pattern rather than one task driving the association. This result is associative, not causal.

  • Total bonus: b = 0.29 · p = .031
  • Individual task models: all ps > .16
Figure 6 showing a positive association between positive affect and total bonus earnings at T3
Original thesis figure.
(05.6)
Condition-specific · Exploratory

Negative affect became more consequential under high heat.

Negative affect was not associated with performance overall. Under high heat, however, higher negative affect was associated with lower performance; no comparable relationship appeared in control or moderate heat. Given N = 26, this interaction should be interpreted cautiously.

  • Overall negative affect: b = 0.06 · p = .754
  • Negative affect × condition: β = −0.95 · p = .030
Figure 8 showing the relationship between negative affect and total bonus by temperature condition, with a downward slope under high heat
Original thesis figure.
(06)Synthesis

The thermostat does not tell the whole psychological story.

Objective temperature

Clearly changed perceived heat and comfort

Thermal comfort

Was more consistently associated with affect

Affect

Related to performance in specific, context-dependent ways

(07)Implications & rigor

Two people can share a temperature without sharing the same experience.

Within this sample, thermal comfort was more consistently associated with affect than objective condition alone. Environmental stress may be better understood by considering both the external condition and how it is subjectively experienced.

Practical implication · Not tested intervention

Improving environmental experience may involve more than lowering air temperature. Air flow, humidity, and personal control are thesis-supported possibilities for future study—not tested solutions.

Future work

Larger, more diverse samples · real-world thermal environments · skin temperature or heart rate · formal mediation testing · deeper study of subjective and physiological response.

01

Sample

N = 26 limited power and generalizability.

02

Lab setting

Controlled exposure may not represent real-world heat.

03

Performance

Bonus earnings may combine ability, effort, and engagement.

04

Experimental context

Chamber and task setup may have shaped experience.

05

Exploratory findings

Interactions require cautious interpretation.

(08)Research outcome & reflection

Exposure,
sensation,
evaluation.

I distinguished three components often collapsed together: objective temperature, subjective thermal sensation, and thermal comfort. They did not relate to affect in the same way; comfort was the more consistent correlate, perceived temperature showed nonlinear effects, and objective condition had limited direct associations.

This project reinforced the importance of separating environmental exposure from subjective experience. A clean manipulation does not guarantee a simple psychological response; the most informative question became not only where participants were, but how they experienced it.

The project taught me to test the structure behind an intuitive story instead of forcing the data to fit it.